Will I be accepted to MIT?
59
60
1.2K
resolved Mar 15
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if my Early Action application to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology is accepted, and NO if it is rejected. If it's deferred, this market will resolve once I receive a final admissions decision.

Academic information submitted:
- intended major: Mathematics
- GPA: 4.16 weighted on a 4.0 scale
- standardized tests: SAT (790 English, 780 Math)

proof:


Close date updated to 2022-12-17 12:17 am

Close date updated to 2022-12-17 12:17 pm

Close date updated to 2022-12-17 9:17 am

Close date updated to 2022-03-22 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-03-22 11:59 pm

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Their loss.

:((

predicted NO

@a I’m so sorry to hear that. I’m sure you’ll do great no matter where you end up.

predicted NO

@a Do you find out today?

predicted NO

@a Hope I lose money 🙏

bought Ṁ100 of NO

being deferred is not a good sign

Did they have you put your gender as part of the application?

@Yoav There's an option to, but IIRC I declined to state it.

I got deferred, so this market will stay open until I get an answer in Regular Action.

predicted YES

@a I believe

bought Ṁ300 of NO

@a Best of luck, hope I lose my mana on this :)

predicted NO

MIT has an acceptance rate of 4% (https://mitadmissions.org/apply/process/stats/). Seems like a good base rate.

@rockenots Yeah, this market seems pretty overpriced.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Just interviewed with MIT! I don't think it went super well, but it didn't seem to go badly either.

Buying NO was a misclick on the arrows - I don't have a position in this market at the moment (I think it's too far towards YES, but I want to see if the market can predict better than I can.)