Outcome of this market will decide whether I join the "Yes" or "No" side in the linked market
2
4
70
resolved Dec 21
Resolved
NO

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-markets-probability-be-at

I'm setting a 5000Ṁ limit order on each side at 48% and 52%.
I will resolve the market as No if the 52% limit order is broken.
I will resolve the market as Yes if the 48% limit order is broken.
I would end up with 10,000Ṁ if this market is resolved. Whoever broke my limit order first have full control over how I invest the 10,000Ṁ (Which side to invest, doing it through limit order or direct order, and when to buy in)

The market resolves to N/A if no side managed to break my 48%/52% limit order at market closing


Get Ṁ200 play money

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#NameTotal profit
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bought Ṁ5,419 of YES

I will let you know when I'm ready for you to invest.

bought Ṁ1,554 of YES

@a oops may be I miscalculated. I only end up getting 3900 profit from this market

Anyway all the payout I have from this market (Ṁ9027) will be under your control. Just let me know when you wanted it invested

predicted YES

@Zorn you only bet M$600 on the market in question. I lost M$3,800 on this market, assuming that I would get to direct the investment of more mana than I lost. While I don't mind that you want to invest your mana how you want, I'm still out M$3,200 because you haven't done what you claimed you'd do with regard to this market.

I would like to propose that this market be resolved N/A so that we both get our money back, and I will send you a manalink to reimburse you for the M$600 that you did invest in the 69% market. What do you think about that?

predicted NO

@a my mana is tied up right now. I'll try to manalink you the difference after its freed up

bought Ṁ1 of YES

I'm not sure that this market setup is ideal.