https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-markets-probability-be-at
Resolves to Yes if the probability is >=50%.
Resolves to No if the probabilty is <50%
I will put in 5000Ṁ on the Yes side of the linked market if this market resolved to Yes
I will put in 5000Ṁ to the No side of the linked market if this market resolved to No
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ old rule, outdated ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
[Edit: change of format. Resolving on 22nd is probably too late to have meaningful impact on Isaac King's market. ]
I'm setting a 5000Ṁ limit order on each side at 25% and 75%.
I will resolve the market as No if the 75% limit order is broken.
I will resolve the market as Yes if the 25% limit order is broken.
I would end up with 20,000Ṁ if this market is resolved. Whoever broke my limit order first have full control over how I invest the 20,000Ṁ (Which side to invest, doing it through limit order or direct order, and when to buy in)
Given that I changed the resolution creteria after some has invested into the market (especially @Mira, @hambie), I will fully reimburse the loss of any party at market closing.
The market resolves to N/A if no side managed to break my 25%/75% limit order at market closing (Dec 20th 11:59 pm ET)
@Mira @hambie @BionicD0LPH1N @IsaacKing
[Edit: change of format. Resolving on 22nd is probably too late to have meaningful impact on Isaac King's market. ]
I'm setting a 5000Ṁ limit order on each side at 25% and 75%.
I will resolve the market as No if the 75% limit order is broken.
I will resolve the market as Yes if the 25% limit order is broken.
I would end up with 20,000Ṁ if this market is resolved. Whoever broke my limit order first have full control over how I invest the 20,000Ṁ (Which side to invest, doing it through limit order or direct order, and when to buy in)
Given that I changed the resolution creteria after some has invested into the market (especially @Mira, @hambie), I will fully reimburse the loss of any party at market closing.
The market resolves to N/A if no side managed to break my 25%/75% limit order at market closing (Dec 20th 11:59 pm ET)
@Zorn What's the incentive for someone to give you M$20,000 and then have you invest it into my market, rather than just investing the M$20,000 themselves?
@Zorn speaking about that, are you interested in recruiting me? I'm willing to commit to one side for a price