Will 'Wonka' (2023) gross more than $160M domestically within its first 2 months of release?
13
121
แน€190
resolved Jan 8
Resolved
YES

I will resolve this market using the Box Office Mojo page for "Wonka" (2023): https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl2942927617/. Specifically, the "Domestic" number listed under "All Releases". [1]

If this listed gross passes $160,000,000 before February 15th 2024, the market resolves "YES". If the listed gross on February 15th 2024 is less than $160,000,000, I will resolve the market "NO". In either case, I may wait for a few days to ensure that the grosses are official (and not just estimates), or I may resolve it early if it is overwhelmingly clear that it won't reach this threshold.

I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one). Please let me know if any aspects of the resolution are unclear.

[1] For an example of which number I'll cite, as of the date of this writing, the comparable domestic total for Godzilla vs. Kong (2021) is "$100,916,094".

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bought แน€2,500 of YES

Resolving YES. The weekend's dailies are still nominally "estimates", but obviously no matter the exact final estimates it will certainly have passed 160M by now and will continue to go far past over the next month. (WAY bigger hit than I expected!)

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