Will "Dune: Part Two" account for >70% of the total domestic box office during its opening weekend?
17
330Ṁ6437
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
YES

For further reference:

  • For an example of a very high %, "Spider Man: No Way Home" accounted for 92% of the box office on its opening weekend.

  • Similarly, "Dune: Part Two" has almost no competition on its opening weekend, although its projected opening is fairly low compared to most that break >70%.

  • The highest proportion for 2024 so far is 29% ("Argylle" on its opening weekend).


[1] This assumes that "Dune: Part Two" is #1 at the box office. It will, but if it somehow isn't, then this market must naturally resolve NO (it cannot be >50%), and so I won't need to compute anything further.

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