Will "Civil War" (2024) gross more during its opening weekend than any three other movies combined? ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ˜ก
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แน€420
resolved Apr 17
Resolved
NO
  • Source: The "Domestic 2024 Weekend" chart for April 12 - 14 on BoxOfficeMojo.

  • This market resolves YES if BoxOfficeMojo lists "Civil War" (2024) with a higher (domestic) gross during that weekend (April 12 - 14) than any other three movies combined.

  • For example, during the weekend of April 5 - 7, "Godzilla x Kong" grossed $31,203,359, "Monkey Man" grossed $10,119,435, and "Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire" grossed $9,003,197, for a combined gross of $50.32M. These are the equivalent numbers I will use (for the weekend of April 12 - 14).

  • I will use the numbers displayed on the website, however they are defined.

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@traders Somewhat closeโ€”by my count GxK, Ghostbusters, & KFP4 combined for $26,829,268, while Civil War earned $25,712,608. Resolves NO. Still, it was #1โ€”can it repeat at #1 next weekend? And what will it gross?

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@Ziddletwix could you clarify if there are any restrictions on which movies, based on release date or theater count?

@MickBransfield Anything that shows up on the BoxOfficeMojo chart is fair game. So for last weekend, any movie listed here https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/2024W14/?ref_=bo_wey_table_5 would count, regardless of release date/theater count. But note that it's just the gross listed for last weekend. So it'll most likely be 3 from GxK, Monkey Man, KFP4, Ghostbusters, Dune 2, etc. Small indie releases or big movies that released months ago are fairly unlikely to have the largest gross for that weekend.

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