This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom" (2023) grosses more than $38,000,000 during its domestic opening weekend. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The "Domestic Opening" number listed on Box Office Mojo https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3003745793/ will be used to resolve this market.
For reference, the original Aquaman opened to $67.87M in 2018.
Other details:
Typically the "domestic opening" includes all of North America, as well as Thursday previews. Regardless, I will use the number cited by Box Office Mojo.
The market will resolve once the opening weekend values are finalized (i.e. not studio estimates), which may be before the listed date. If Box Office Mojo does not cite a number by December 1st, I will use an alternative source.
I may choose to trade in my own markets if they have clear, objective resolution criteria (like this one).
If any aspect of this question is unclear, please ask.
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