Who will receive Oscar nominations for Best Actress at the 97th Academy Awards?
Who will receive Oscar nominations for Best Actress at the 97th Academy Awards?
32
675Ṁ7460
resolved Jan 23
Resolved
YES
Cynthia Erivo - Wicked
Resolved
YES
Mikey Madison - Anora
Resolved
YES
Fernanda Torres - I'´m Still Here
Resolved
YES
Karla Sofia Gascon - Emilia Perez
Resolved
YES
Demi Moore - The Substance
Resolved
N/A
⁠
Resolved
NO
Lady Gaga - Joker: Folie à Deux
Resolved
NO
Saoirse Ronan - The Outrun
Resolved
NO
Zendaya - Challengers
Resolved
NO
Florence Pugh - We Live in Time
Resolved
NO
Lily Gladstone - Fancy Dance
Resolved
NO
Angelina Jolie - Maria
Resolved
NO
Emma Stone - Kinds of Kindness
Resolved
NO
Saoirse Ronan - Blitz
Resolved
NO
Amy Adams - Nightbitch
Resolved
NO
Nicole Kidman - Babygirl
Resolved
NO
Marianne Jean Baptiste - Hard Truths
Resolved
NO
Tilda Swinton - The Room Next Door

  • The 97th Academy Awards—currently scheduled for March 2nd, 2025—will honor movies released in 2024.

  • This market resolves YES for each actress & movie pair that receive nominations in the Best (Lead) Actress category.

    • I.e. If an actress is in two eligible movies, that counts as two separate entries.

  • Please follow the current formatting when adding additional options.

Culture
Movies
Television & Film
Oscars 2025
Oscars
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ599
2Ṁ173
3Ṁ89
4Ṁ75
5Ṁ60


Sort by:
2mo

@traders BET ON THE WINNER

2mo

@traders I made an updated version of this market!

Who will be nominated for Best Actress? (2025 Oscars)‌

(tl;dr: this was an old market with basically no liquidity so betting feels terrible, and it's very inefficient to add liquidity to independent MC markets, so I preferred to just make a new version with actual liquidity that could close before the ceremony)

3mo

Market for supporting actress: https://manifold.markets/GammaLaser/who-will-be-nominated-for-best-supp-0820cPZtR2

opened a Ṁ250 Zendaya - Challengers YES at 66% order10mo

She was amazing in Challengers

11mo

oops, all Zendaya

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules