[Short fuse] Will "Moana 2" gross >$200 million during its 5-day domestic opening weekend?
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5
Ṁ812Dec 5
95%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Source: BoxOfficeMojo (barring an obvious error).
This resolves based on the cumulative domestic gross listed through (& including) Sunday, November 31st.
For comparison, "Moana" (2016) also released before thanksgiving, and its domestic gross as of its first Sunday was $82,080,274. This is the equivalent number I will use.
(This is the standard definition of the 5-day opening weekend, but note that it includes Tuesday previews.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Check out @Moscow25 's comprehensive "Moana 2" prop bet market as well (oops this mini one dupes one of his options, but better for visibility):
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