This resolves based on the number of senators who vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of Health and Human Services—whether or not he is actually confirmed is irrelevant.

If RFK's nomination is withdrawn, or it is clear that no vote will be held, this resolves N/A.

For reference, Tom Price (Trump's first nominee for HHS secretary) was confirmed 52-47 (i.e. 52 votes in favor).

This may close before the vote is held, if the timing is clear.