Does Covid-19 have hidden long-term negative health effects?
36
1kṀ1035
Mar 24
77%
chance
Some people are worried that a Covid-19 infection could have consequences which are still not apparent now, like the effects of an HIV infection which start getting bad only after several years. This market resolves YES if such effects are found and published in peer-reviewed medical literature. Effects commonly subsumed into "Long Covid", i.e., immediate effects of the infection which persist even after the infection is over and the virus can no longer be detected, do NOT count here. Mar 28, 1:35pm: For the purpose of this market, I will view Covid-related ARDS and also its (possibly long-term) consequences as an immediate effect, which will not cause the market to resolve YES. However, if it turns out that Covid-19 somehow leads to an unusual form of ARDS which has more dangerous long-term health effects, then this might cause resolution to YES.
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy