Does Covid-19 have hidden long-term negative health effects?
36
1kṀ1035Mar 24
77%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Some people are worried that a Covid-19 infection could have consequences which are still not apparent now, like the effects of an HIV infection which start getting bad only after several years.
This market resolves YES if such effects are found and published in peer-reviewed medical literature.
Effects commonly subsumed into "Long Covid", i.e., immediate effects of the infection which persist even after the infection is over and the virus can no longer be detected, do NOT count here.
Mar 28, 1:35pm: For the purpose of this market, I will view Covid-related ARDS and also its (possibly long-term) consequences as an immediate effect, which will not cause the market to resolve YES. However, if it turns out that Covid-19 somehow leads to an unusual form of ARDS which has more dangerous long-term health effects, then this might cause resolution to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will irreversible long-term health consequences of Covid-19 be shown to affect 20%+ of the world population before 2034?
37% chance
In 2030 will long-lasting side effects in over 30% of the US be linked to the Moderna AND Pfizer COVID vaccinations?
3% chance
Does 3000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
90% chance
Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?
26% chance
Does 2000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
79% chance
Does 1000 ppm carbon dioxide have significant negative effects on cognition or health?
67% chance