Will the Chicago Bears have a win percentage at or above 0.500 when Caleb Williams returns from his injury?

Question

Resolves YES if the Bears record is at or above 0.500 at the start of the next game Caleb Williams starts. For the purposes of this market, ties will count as 0.5 wins and 0.5 losses.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 57% chance (1 traders, as of Sep 28, 2026).

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