If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed, will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 Midterms?
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If the Strait of Hormuz shows as closed on the day of the 2026 Midterms, will the Democrats get control of both the House and the Senate.
Strait of Hormuz closure will be based off of this website. If this website stops working I'll use my own judgement in picking another appropriate source or a shipping threshold. If the Strait is open on the day of midterms then the market will N/A. If the Strait opens for a time before the Midterms and then recloses and is closed for Midterms it will still resolve.
Resolution on Democrats controlling both the House and the Senate will occur after reputable sources have called enough races to determine resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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