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MANIFOLD
If Judit Polgár becomes President of Hungary, will she play an in-person game of chess with a world leader this year?
11
Ṁ1kṀ980
Dec 31
25%
chance

Market is conditional on Polgar becoming the next President of Hungary. If she does not then it resolves N/A.

Resolves YES if after becoming president of Hungary. Polgar plays an in-person (over the board) game of chess with a world leader during the calendar year 2026. I'm defining world leader as the head of state/head of government of a country. Playing with any other member of government would not resolve this YES. This does not have to be the only game she's playing at the time and could be part of a simul or other diplomatic event. Evidence for this includes but is not limited to public video/streams, reporting from involved governments, statements from Polgar herself, etc.

If an actual game is not played and there is just a ceremonial type picture taken at a board that will NOT resolve the market YES.

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