MANIFOLD
Conditional on both sides agreeing to engage, what are the odds the lair can keep a fish alive longer than Zane can?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ20
Dec 18
51%
Zane wins
16%
Lair wins / ties
16%
Act of God
16%
Other

This market is void if either party declines to agree to the contest.

This market is intended to begin January 12, 2026. Neither party may interfere, or compensate someone else to, interfere with the other's fish. The fish must stay within the office. In the event of a "tie" (both fish are alive December 31, 2026), the lair wins. In the event Zane is no longer employed by Bain Capital or in the event that every current member of the lair is no longer employed by Bain Capital, this market will resolve to the "Act of God" outcome. Other "Act of God" outcomes include any events which prevent the associated parties from accessing the office, including but not limited to plague, disaster, or Bain Capital declaring bankruptcy.

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