Resolution Criteria:

For a given date to be resolved to YES at least one of the following must occur:

1. The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 50% or higher

2. The labor force participation rate drops by 50% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.

Fine Print:

This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week. If that number goes from 40 hours/week to 20 hours/week or less that will not matter to the resolution of this question.

Background:

There is controversy on whether Al will take away human jobs. The way to resolve this is to know whether Al will create more jobs than it destroys. The best way to measure the net jobs is to calculate (new jobs - lost jobs) is the unemployment rate. The broader unemployment rate (U6) is used to include

"discouraged workers" who have stopped looking for work. The broader unemployment rate (U6) should be sufficient for resolving this question. The Labor Force Participation Rate is used as a backup measurement in case the U6 unemployment rate turns out to be unreliable.

• US Sources Clarification

  • The resolution criteria rely exclusively on statistics from US sources.

  • Both the U-6 unemployment rate and the labor force participation rate are based on data collected in the United States.