
Will any of Harris, Newsom, or Buttgieg run against Biden?
Basic
11
á¹€630Jan 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves YES if any of those three announces a presidential run while Joe Biden has not died or withdrawn from seeking nomination or election for the 2024 Presidential Election.
In case of timing issues (eg Biden is sick, or expected to withdraw shortly and they announce), I may resolve NO according to the spirit of the question. However if it seems like they may be announcing to bully Biden into withdrawing before that decision is obviously a done deal, then that would probably resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?
52% chance
If Biden drops out in favor of Kamala Harris, will she win the election against Trump?
49% chance
Will either Biden or Harris win the 2024 Presidential Election?
48% chance
Will someone other than Biden, Harris, Buttigieg, or Newsom receive the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
1% chance
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D))
48% chance
If Harris wins, will Biden resign?
10% chance
If Harris loses, will Tim Walz be the 2028 presidential nominee?
16% chance
Will Kamala Harris do better than Joe Biden did in California?
42% chance
Will Harris win a state in the 2024 election that Biden lost in 2020?
32% chance
If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg (D))
24% chance