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MANIFOLD
By when will will the number of daily cyclosporiasis cases in Michigan be below 50 per day for 4 consecutive days?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ90
Oct 2
August 16, 2026
34%
Before Aug 5, 2026
66%
Before Aug 20, 2026
76%
Before Sep 5, 2026
90%
Before Sep 20, 2026

Based on the "Cases by date reported" chart on

https://www.michigan.gov/mdhhs/keep-mi-healthy/infectious-diseases/infectious-disease-outbreaks for dates since July 1, 2026. For example, 8/5 would resolve to yes if and only if there are at least 4 consecutive bars on the chart for dates between 7/1 and 8/5, inclusive, with cases strictly less than 50.

If the chart stops being updated or changes granularity or no longer shows daily cases reported before an option date, and the Yes criterion has not yet been met, that date will resolve to N/A.

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