Will Google Bard become better than GPT-4 at any point before September 2024?
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1.2kṀ5302
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
YES

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predictedYES

This should not be resolved yet. Bard is using Pro, which is maybe slightly better than GPT-3.5. Pro is not even competitive with GPT-4

predictedNO

@derpy153 signal boosting this, I completely agree.

predictedNO

I don’t think this is YES yet. Today’s update to Bard uses the Pro model, which is not better than GPT-4. Google has promised the GPT-4 Ultra model will be in Bard, but that hasn’t happened yet.

predictedYES

@Tossup I bet YES, but I agree that this should not resolve quite yet. Google reports that it's better than GPT-4, but we need independent confirmation.

predictedYES

Why has this resolved already?

is this going to include 'google bard advanced', or not?

Both Google Bard and ChatGPT-4 are powerful conversational AI tools that excel in different areas. Bard outperforms ChatGPT-4 when it comes to human-like response, user-friendliness of the interface, and real-time access to the internet. However, ChatGPT4 has an advantage in text-processing tasks like summarization and paragraph writing. While Bard’s responses aim for ultra-authenticity, it still falls short in terms of hallucination or generating fake news. Moreover, access to ChatGPT4 is limited and comes at a cost, whereas Bard is free for all. But just having a free access does not mean that it is better.
https://www.analyticsvidhya.com/blog/2023/05/chatgpt-4-v-s-google-bard-a-head-to-head-comparison/

@WyattStanke Should this be closed already? It seems like it would be more interesting to leave it open until the close date.

predictedYES

@EvanDaniel September 2024

Almost a year from now...

predictedNO

@oh The thing is, GPT 4 is a specific LLM but Google Bard is an interface that has switched LLMs in the past, so this question is comparing apples to oranges.

predictedYES

Why does this market close in 2 days?

What if a Google LLM not under the Bard brand becomes better?

@NunyaBidness Never thought about that. I guess it will be any Google LLM.

@WyattStanke that's an important information for betting on the market. Better add it in the description or title. 🙏🏼

@WyattStanke please update title and description

How will you resolve this?

@4mur1c4 HellaSwag benchmark

@WyattStanke please link in description

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