Which party's candidate will become the Polish prime minister after 2023 parliamentary elections?
93
4.8kṀ19kresolved Dec 13
100%97%
KO
1.4%
PiS
0.0%
Polska2050
0.0%
PSL
0.0%
Lewica
0.0%
Konfederacja
1.2%
None
This question resolves after the elections and the vote of confidence passes.
If no prime minister is successfully elected and new elections are called this question resolves to none.
If a new party emerges from the listed parties and its candidate becomes the prime minister the question resolves to the latest listed party.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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PiS is very likely to win https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/poland/
Then it seems the most likely option is that they will form a minority government. But this seems to be a tricky political situation for them and may not do it. I don’t know how to judge this. What are likely scenarios? Any help will be appreciated.