resolved May 22
Will LessWrong pay users $1 for each Good Heart Token they earn?
Resolved
YEShttps://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mz3hwS4c9bc9EHAm9/replacing-karma-with-good-heart-tokens-worth-usd1
Close date updated to 2022-04-01 9:59 pm
š Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gurkenglas | į¹27 |
| 2 |  Undox | į¹17 |
| 3 |  William Kiely | į¹12 |
| 4 |  Martin Randall | į¹0 |
š¬ Proven correct
Since the market hasn't seemed to reach a consensus yet I took a look at the original post again. The fact that they appear to actually be serious about banning voting rings (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mz3hwS4c9bc9EHAm9/replacing-karma-with-good-heart-tokens-worth-usd1?commentId=mmb8JK6p9mj8ksLtT) makes me think they might actually pay people out per the stated post. It could also be that they're just trying hard to act serious, so I'm only buying enough to get the market up to 58%.
šø Best bet
A trader bought į¹20 YES from 10% to 83%
Undox made į¹25!
Sort by:
Since the market hasn't seemed to reach a consensus yet I took a look at the original post again. The fact that they appear to actually be serious about banning voting rings (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mz3hwS4c9bc9EHAm9/replacing-karma-with-good-heart-tokens-worth-usd1?commentId=mmb8JK6p9mj8ksLtT) makes me think they might actually pay people out per the stated post. It could also be that they're just trying hard to act serious, so I'm only buying enough to get the market up to 58%.
I assumed it was probably an April Fool's joke and wouldn't actually pay out, but it sounds like the market disagrees currently. Interesting.
Re: "This doesn't automatically resolve NO because of the "The minimum number of tokens to be exchanged is 25." clause, right? Right?"
Correct. If someone gets >$25 for getting >25 Good Heart Tokens, this will resolve positively. The intent of this question is basically just to evaluate whether it's an April Fool's joke that won't actually pay out real money (negative resolution) or whether it's legitimate (positive resolution).
This doesn't automatically resolve NO because of the "The minimum number of tokens to be exchanged is 25." clause, right? Right?
A trader sold į¹2 NO from 58% to 68%
A trader bought į¹10 YES from 24% to 58%
A trader bought į¹20 NO from 81% to 24%
A trader sold į¹7 NO from 51% to 80%
A trader bought į¹9 NO from 87% to 51%
A trader bought į¹1 NO from 90% to 87%
A trader bought į¹1 YES at 90%
A trader bought į¹25 YES from 60% to 90%
A trader sold į¹37 YES from 94% to 60%
A trader bought į¹30 YES from 77% to 94%
A trader bought į¹5 NO from 97% to 77%
A trader bought į¹30 YES from 92% to 97%
A trader bought į¹30 YES from 42% to 92%
A trader bought į¹10 NO from 89% to 42%
A trader bought į¹20 YES from 56% to 89%
A trader bought į¹4 NO from 78% to 56%
A trader bought į¹1 NO from 83% to 78%
A trader bought į¹20 YES from 10% to 83%
A trader bought į¹20 NO from 50% to 10%
