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MANIFOLD
When will a major AI lab announce that the weights of one of its models were compromised in a cyberattack?
1
Ṁ150Ṁ146
2032
September 2, 2029
54%
Before 2028
66%
Before 2029
80%
Before 2030
83%
Before 2031
87%
Before 2032
13%
2032 or later or never

Resolves YES if there is a disclosure by one of {Meta AI, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, Anthropic} that it suffered a cyberattack (which took place after market creation) and believes that the weights of at least one of its proprietary models were stolen.

Like this market but with more dates.

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