Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if there are at least two distinct Major League Baseball (MLB) regular-season games played between July 17, 2026, and July 31, 2026 (inclusive), in each of which an individual player hits 3 or more home runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

• Date Range: Games must officially begin between July 17, 2026, and July 31, 2026, based on the local time/date of the game. If a game is suspended and completed on a later date, it will count as long as its official start date falls within this window.

• Player Requirement: The two games do not need to feature different players. For example, if the same player hits 3+ home runs in two separate games during this period, it will satisfy the condition.

• Definition of 3 HR: A player must hit 3 or more home runs in a single game.

• Verification: Resolution will be determined using official box scores on MLB.com, or verified statistical databases like Baseball-Reference and StatMuse.

Background

Hitting three home runs in a single game is a notable feat in MLB, though it occurs multiple times each season. Earlier in the 2026 regular season, players such as Max Muncy, Andy Pages, Kyle Schwarber, and Ryan O'Hearn logged 3-homer performances. This market covers the high-stakes period of late July following the All-Star break, leading up to the July 31 trade deadline.

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