Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if there are at least two individual MLB games in which a single player hits 3 or more home runs (HR) during the period from July 30, 2026, through August 18, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

• Timeframe: Games must officially begin and be played between July 30, 2026, and August 18, 2026 (inclusive, based on the local date of the game's venue).

• Single Game Feat: The 3 or more home runs must be hit by the same player within a single officially recorded game. If a team plays a doubleheader, home runs hit in separate games of the doubleheader do not combine to meet the criteria.

• Sources: Resolution will be determined using official game data and box scores from MLB.com and Baseball-Reference.

Background

Hitting three or more home runs in a single major league game is a rare but regular feat. During the 2026 season, players such as Hunter Goodman of the Colorado Rockies (who hit his second 3-HR game of the season on July 19, 2026) and Ryan O'Hearn of the Pittsburgh Pirates (July 7, 2026) have achieved this. Historically, MLB sees roughly 15 to 20 such performances spread across an entire 162-game regular season, making a cluster of two or more within a single three-week stretch a highly variable event.

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