Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if four (4) or more individual hat tricks are scored during the 2026 FIFA World Cup (June 11 – July 19, 2026). It resolves to NO if three (3) or fewer hat tricks are scored.

• Definition of a hat trick: A single player scoring three (3) or more goals in a single match. If a player scores four or five goals in a single match, it counts as exactly one hat trick.

• Exclusions: Goals scored during post-match penalty shootouts do not count. Goals scored during regular time and extra time do count.

• Source of truth: Verification will be based on official FIFA match reports and tournament statistics. The List of FIFA World Cup hat-tricks on Wikipedia will be used as a primary fallback reference.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the first edition to feature 48 teams and an expanded format of 104 total matches (up from 64 in previous tournaments). This increase in fixtures, along with potentially more lopsided matchups in the group stage, significantly increases the mathematical likelihood of high-scoring games and individual trebles.

At the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, only two hat tricks were recorded (Gonçalo Ramos in the round of 16 and Kylian Mbappé in the final). The historical record for the most hat tricks in a single World Cup tournament is eight, set during the 1954 World Cup in Switzerland.

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