Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if England, Germany, and Argentina each finish in 1st place in their respective groups during the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If any of these three teams finishes in 2nd, 3rd, or 4th place, is disqualified, or does not participate, the market resolves to NO.

The group assignments are as follows:

• Germany: Group E (competing against Curaçao, Ivory Coast, and Ecuador)

• Argentina: Group J (competing against Algeria, Austria, and Jordan)

• England: Group L (competing against Croatia, Ghana, and Panama)

Resolution will be determined using the final official group standings published by FIFA at the conclusion of the group stage. Any group-stage tie-breakers will be resolved strictly according to official FIFA tournament regulations.

The primary source of truth for group standings is the FIFA World Cup 2026 Standings.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup—held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, across the United States, Canada, and Mexico—is the first edition to feature an expanded format of 48 teams divided into 12 groups of four.

• Germany (coached by Julian Nagelsmann) enters Group E as the group's top seed.

• Argentina (coached by Lionel Scaloni), the defending champions led by captain Lionel Messi, enter Group J as strong favorites.

• England (coached by Thomas Tuchel) starts Group L as one of the overall favorites to win the tournament.

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