Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders USA (officially registered as Médecins Sans Frontières USA, Inc.) reports at least $850,000,000 ($850 million) in total revenue for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. It will resolve to NO otherwise.

The primary sources of truth, in order of preference, are:

1. Audited Financial Statements: The "Total revenues, gains, and other support" (or equivalent total revenue) line on the Statement of Activities in the official audited financial statements for FY 2026, published on the MSF USA Finances, Reporting & Accountability page.

2. IRS Form 990: Part I, Line 12 ("Total revenue") of the Form 990 filed by MEDECINS SANS FRONTIERES USA INC (EIN: 13-3433452) for the 2026 tax year, which can be viewed on ProPublica's Nonprofit Explorer.

The first officially published document of the two will determine the outcome. If the figures in the two sources conflict, the Audited Financial Statements will take precedence. If no official audited financial statements or Form 990 for FY 2026 are publicly available by June 30, 2028, this market will resolve as N/A.

Background

Doctors Without Borders USA (MSF USA) is a 501(c)(3) international medical humanitarian organization. The organization operates on a calendar fiscal year (January 1 to December 31).

Historical total revenue figures for MSF USA in recent years:

• FY 2024: ~$776.9 million (per Form 990 / ProPublica)

• FY 2023: ~$780.0 million (per Audited Financial Statements)

• FY 2022: ~$675.0+ million (public contributions exceeded $675M)

This market tracks whether their annual revenue will reach the $850 million milestone in fiscal year 2026.

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