Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the designated home teams win 50% or more of the completed Week 1 games in the 2026 NFL regular season. If home teams win fewer than 50% of the completed games, the market will resolve to NO.

• Definition of Home Team: The designated home team is the team officially listed as the host by the NFL. For the neutral-site international game in Melbourne, Australia (San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams), the Los Angeles Rams are the designated home team.

• Calculation: There are 16 games scheduled for Week 1. Home teams must win at least 8 games to resolve YES. If any games end in a tie, they do not count as wins for either team. For example, a record of 7 wins, 8 losses, and 1 tie represents a 43.75% win rate, which would resolve NO.

• Rescheduled/Canceled Games: If any Week 1 games are postponed, canceled, or not played to official completion within the Week 1 schedule window, the resolution will be calculated based on the percentage of games actually completed. For instance, if only 15 games are officially completed, the threshold for a YES resolution remains 8 wins (53.33%).

• Source of Truth: Official game outcomes as published on NFL.com or ESPN.com.

Background

The 2026 NFL regular season begins on Wednesday, September 9, 2026, featuring the reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks hosting the New England Patriots. Week 1 features a 16-game slate running through Monday, September 14, 2026.

This opening week includes a historic Thursday night game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams at the Melbourne Cricket Ground in Melbourne, Australia—marking the NFL's first-ever regular-season game in the country. The Rams serve as the designated home team for this international matchup.

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