Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the designated home teams win 50% or more of the completed games in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL regular season. It will resolve to NO if designated home teams win less than 50% of the completed games.

• Win Threshold: There are 16 games scheduled for Week 1. If all 16 games are completed, 50% or more corresponds to 8 or more wins by designated home teams.

• Rescheduled/Canceled Games: If any games are canceled or postponed beyond the official conclusion of Week 1, the 50% threshold will apply to the total number of Week 1 games actually completed. For example, if only 15 games are completed, home teams must win at least 8 games (since 7 wins would be 46.7%). If 14 games are completed, home teams must win at least 7 games.

• International Games: The game played at the Melbourne Cricket Ground in Australia between the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams features the Los Angeles Rams as the designated home team.

• Ties: A tie does not count as a win for either team. Only outright victories by the designated home team count toward the home team win total.

• Source of Truth: Results will be verified using the official box scores published on NFL.com or ESPN.

Background

The 2026 NFL regular season is scheduled to begin on Wednesday, September 9, 2026, with the defending Super Bowl LX champion Seattle Seahawks hosting the New England Patriots. Week 1 runs through Monday, September 14, 2026, and features 16 total games, including the league's first-ever regular-season game in Australia (held in Melbourne between the Rams and the 49ers). Historically, home-field advantage has hovered around 50-55% league-wide, making Week 1 performance a highly anticipated baseline for the rest of the season.

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