Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if both of the following conditions are met during the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup:

1. At least one knockout match ends with an official final score of exactly 4–0 (for either team).

2. Fewer than eight (8) total knockout matches end with an official final score of exactly 3–0 (for either team).

If either condition is not met (i.e., there are zero 4–0 matches, or there are eight or more 3–0 matches), this market will resolve to NO.

Definitions & Rules:

• Knockout Stage: Includes all single-elimination matches played from the Round of 32 through to the Final, including the third-place play-off match. Group stage matches do not count toward these totals.

• Official Final Score: The score of the match at the end of regular time (including injury time) and extra time (if played). Penalty shootouts do not count toward the match score. For example, a match that ends 0–0 after extra time and goes to penalties does not count as a 4–0 or 3–0 outcome regardless of the shootout score.

• Source of Truth: The official match reports published on the FIFA Website. In case of any dispute or server issues, reputable sports databases such as ESPN or FBref will be used as secondary sources.

Background

The 2026 FIFA World Cup in North America features an expanded format with 48 teams. Under this format, the knockout stage has expanded to include a Round of 32, resulting in a total of 32 single-elimination matches (double the 16 knockout matches of the previous 32-team format). This increase in matches and the inclusion of more lower-ranked teams in the bracket stage alter the likelihood of highly-skewed scorelines.

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