Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
11
50𝕊32
resolved Feb 12
Resolved as
39%

From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:

Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:

This question will resolve as Yes if the monthly U-3 unemployment figure, in percent, seasonally adjusted, for November 2025 is lower than 4.2%. Resolution will be determined according to the first estimate published for November 2025 by the BLS, typically found here.

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