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MANIFOLD
Zelensky attire in 18 Aug summit
23
Ṁ100Ṁ1.1k
resolved Aug 18
100%95%
Wears suit
4%
Wears military fatigues, gets scolded by politician/journalist
1.0%
Wears military fatigues, does not get scolded

Resolution criteria

  • This resolves on Zelensky’s first on‑camera joint appearance with U.S. President Trump in Washington, D.C., on August 18, 2025 (arrival/photo‑op/press availability). The event’s occurrence is documented by Reuters/AP/Kyiv Independent. (reuters.com, apnews.com, kyivindependent.com)

  • Classification (single-winner precedence):

    1. Wears suit = coordinated tailored jacket and matching trousers with a collared shirt (tie optional) → “Wears suit” resolves Yes; all others No.

    2. Else, if wearing military/tactical attire (e.g., olive/black crew/sweatshirt or tee with trident/“Ukraine,” cargo pants/boots; no tailored suit jacket) and is publicly scolded → “Wears military fatigues, gets scolded by politician/journalist” resolves Yes; others No.

    3. Else, if wearing military/tactical attire and not publicly scolded → “Wears military fatigues, does not get scolded” resolves Yes; others No.

  • “Publicly scolded” = an on‑record rebuke about Zelensky’s attire by a politician or credentialed journalist during Aug 18 (00:00–23:59 ET) at/adjacent to the summit, evidenced by primary video/transcript or reports from at least two reputable outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, NYT, WaPo, AFP, C‑SPAN).

  • If multiple outfits on Aug 18, use the earliest joint appearance with Trump. If no public on‑camera appearance that day, resolve N/A.

  • Verification sources to check: Reuters event/story/photos, AP report/photos, C‑SPAN/White House feeds, and official posts from the Presidential Offices.

Background

  • Zelensky meets Trump (with European leaders expected) in Washington on Aug 18, 2025, following Trump’s Alaska meeting with Putin; the Washington session is the focal public appearance for this market. (reuters.com, apnews.com, kyivindependent.com)

  • His wartime wardrobe has drawn recurring media and political attention; he has recently shifted to more formal black, suit‑like looks without a tie after prior criticism. (reuters.com)

  • Earlier this year, attire critiques reached the Oval Office and broader press, illustrating what counts as public “scolding” for this market’s purposes. (bbc.com)

Considerations

  • Borderline cases (e.g., dark jacket with non‑matching trousers): if it’s not a coordinated suit, treat as non‑suit; if top is clearly tactical/insignia crew/sweatshirt, treat as military style.

  • Only on‑site, on‑record rebukes by politicians or credentialed journalists qualify as “scolding”; social‑media commentary or pundit segments outside the event do not.

  • Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - In the case of a formal jacket without matching trousers:

    • If not scolded, will resolve PARTIAL, splitting between “Wears suit” and the appropriate no‑suit, not scolded outcome based on the creator’s judgment of how “suity” it looks (e.g., ~50/50).

    • If scolded for the attire, will resolve to the no‑suit, got scolded outcome.

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Even the "suit guy" from February said "You look fabulous in that suit" (and Trump said that he said the same thing) - so the suit it is. Resolving to "Wears suit".

Apparently Trump said something nice to Zelensky (still waiting for it to be published officially) about his clothes so I am inclined to resolve it to "Wears suit". I will wait for confirmation of this claim; anyway we need to wait for the meeting (and press conference after it) to finish - maybe he will get scolded anyways.

@VonGadke https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/trump-zelensky-meeting-russia-ukraine/card/trump-compliments-zelensky-s-suit-ZsZRs1uG0sDSjnIBcQRn

bloody paywall prevents me from reading what happened next, would be glad for help from @traders in this regard

@ElectricCopperMountain IF he was not scolded for that - percentage depending on my judgement how 'suity" it looks (e.g. 50% for suit, 50% for no suit, not scolded) ELSE no suit, got scolded