Will Tim Scott win at least one state in the Republican primaries?
28
137
530
Jul 21
0.6%
chance

Resolves YES if Tim Scott wins the most delegates in at least one state during the 2024 Republican presidential primaries. Resolves NO otherwise.

The source of the official delegate count will be the Republican National Committee (RNC), and any disputes about the delegate count will be resolved based on the RNC's official statements.

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@Tripping resolves no?

@Joshua presumably eventually

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

He just suspended his campaign.

sold Ṁ126 of NO
predicts YES

I'm voting yes on the basis elon retweeted his video 😂

bought Ṁ10 of NO

He has an advantage in that South Carolina is an early state (and if he wins a state that's his most likely state), but otoh the prior on a declared candidate winning any state is low (and he hasn't even declared yet)

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