Taiwan (competing as Chinese Taipei) won 12 medals at the 2020 Tokyo Summer Olympics. If they improve on this and win 13 medals or more at the 2024 Paris Olympics, this market will resolve YES. If they do not and win 12 medals or fewer, this market will resolve NO.

Other markets about whether countries will improve on their medal counts: https://manifold.markets/browse/will-countries-improve-their-medal