Will I weigh <145 pounds by Jan 1, 2025?
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Jan 1
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Update Aug 19: You can now see my daily weigh ins here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1get_QTibMAz8Sv3imAKRwrH2VHiRNHN-y2CyPuDt66o/edit?usp=sharing

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My last weigh in as of starting this market was on July 26, 2024 at 162.0 pounds.

I'm 5'4'' tall

I don't currently regularly exercise. I have a terrible sweet tooth and use food to cope.

I've been overweight since I got married in 2012, though I did get down to 145 pounds in 2020.

This will resolve to yes if my weigh in on the morning of January 1, 2025 is <145

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A lot of doubters in here, prove them wrong!

Just updated the chart

@TrevorMcKendrick could you please update again?

Will there be any spooky season updates? It's my favourite time of year!

153.6 today? You should celebrate with some caaaaake 🎂

bought Ṁ620 YES

@MitchellWright I'm in for more YES. Don't let me down Trevor! Let's beat Hank!

boughtṀ25,000NO

buying no on on an alt on your own (motivation) market (in part) to fill my limit order is not cool! I realize I shouldn't have placed those limits but still

@Bayesian That wasn't me. I don't know who it is

@TrevorMcKendrick someone created an alt and spent 25$ on NO on your market, and their name is Evil Trevor? LOL okay, well I think you'll succeed at your objective if that isn't you. As long as that's not you then my interpretation of the situation was mistaken and I meant no ill will, sorry <3

bought Ṁ501 YES

@Bayesian If I had to guess it would be @HankTaylor but that's just a guess. Seems like the kind of fun he'd pursue

bought Ṁ2,000 YES

@EvilMcKendrick @HankTaylor what are you two planning... 👀

@TrevorMcKendrick might it be a family member

@ismellpillows No I don't think so

@TrevorMcKendrick @Bayesian I thought it was clear from the name. I'm not Trevor...I'm EVIL Trevor

Do you plan on using means that would lower your weight at the very moment you go on the scale while not being a true stable weight loss ? (e.g getting dehydrated)

@Mich I'd consider it if I was close

JFYI I'll be traveling the rest of this week and much of next week. This means no weigh ins and extra temptation to eat + harder to exercise

Just posted my lowest weigh in since October 2021

@TrevorMcKendrick I'll wait a few days to see if regression to the mean will kick in

@TrevorMcKendrick damn!...I mean, good work!

This will resolve to yes if my weigh in on the morning of January 1, 2025 is <145

if it drops <145 but returns to >145 on January 1, it doesn’t count, right? but the question title implies it does

@ismellpillows Correct. The weigh in must be <145 on January 1.

I thought about updating the title but there was no way to leave a comment on the edit, and I did specify how this would resolve in the description, so I opted to leave the title the same.

Well look at this! We have a bunch of people betting against me.

I shared this new fact with my brothers and one of them said "They’ve fallen victim to one of the classic blunders. Never go in against a McKendrick, when they’re trying to prove someone wrong."

Let the real games begin.

2 traders bought Ṁ150 YES
bought Ṁ100 NO at 62%

@TrevorMcKendrick So what you’re saying is everyone should bet NO if they want to help you succeed… :)

bought Ṁ5 NO

@TrevorMcKendrick If that's what it takes to get you there, game on!

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