
How much weight will I lose in one year on Mounjaro (Tirzepatide)?
How much weight will I lose in one year on Mounjaro (Tirzepatide)?
11
10kṀ6098Sep 1
114
expected
1D
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On 23rd August I started taking Mounjaro (Tirzepatide). On that day I weighed 379lbs = 27st 1lb = 172kg. How many pounds will I lose over the next year?
I will be providing monthly weigh-ins on the first of each month.
If I'm forced to temporarily stop taking Tirzepatide for example through unavailability I'll extend this market by however many weeks I miss. If I'm forced to stop permanently for example because of side effects it will resolve as N/A. I haven't had any side effects on the first two doses at 2.5mg.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.