Will Russia launch another ICBM or IRBM in 2024?
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This market resolves YES if Russia launches a ICBM or IRBM before Jan 1, 2025
It doesn't have to hit Ukraine. Test launches count, but only if it makes it off the launch pad.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@TimothyBandors Since you use the phrasing "another ICBM" as though there were an ICBM launch you expect to be common knowledge, how do you resolve this if Russia launches another IRBM (such as the one it did on 11/21) instead of an ICBM? Do you mean the October ICBM drills?
@vlads I did not see that it was technically classified as an IRBM instead of ICBM after the fact.
@traders I am going to be adjusting the question as I think the intent of the question was known. Please let me know if anyone objects.
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