What will the Copom decide on the Selic rate on August 5, 2026?

Question

This market resolves based on the Copom decision announced on August 5, 2026.

It resolves according to the official Selic target rate announced by the Banco Central do Brasil.

Resolution source: Official Copom statement published by the Central Bank of Brazil.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Cut by 0.25 percentage points (14.25% → 14.00%), followed by No change (remain at 14.25%) and Other outcome (includes a 0.50 pp cut, any increase, or any decision different from the two options above) are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Jul 28, 2026).

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