This market resolves positively if Google or Alphabet announces layoffs of additional ≥1% of FTEs beyond those announced on Jan 20 (including the international layoffs which, at the time of this writing, have already been announced but not yet enacted). Resolution can only come from official email or announcement from Sundar Pichai or official Google representative. They must explicitly announce either X% layoffs (where X≥1), or 2,000 layoffs. Can be either a Google-specific layoff affecting ≥1% of Google or an Alphabet-wide layoff affecting ≥1% of Alphabet..
In any case this is way to high compared to my markets:
https://manifold.markets/DavidWang/from-now-will-google-announce-layof
https://manifold.markets/DavidWang/from-now-will-google-announce-layof-ca3633be3d78
so imma do some arb