Will the Oakland Athletics change their logo or team colors by the time they play their first game in Las Vegas?
Will the Oakland Athletics change their logo or team colors by the time they play their first game in Las Vegas?
2
140Ṁ352028
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the shape of the A on the logo is changed or if one or more of the team's primary colors (green, gold, and white) is swapped out.
Resolves no if the only change is from "Oakland Athletics" to "Las Vegas Athletics" in the ring around the logo, or if only the shade of the primary color is altered (e.g. forest green changed to Kelly green).
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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