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It is snowing in Williston, ND as of 2:30 AM CDT... Now to await the snowfall spotter reports for the amounts.

@kalassak I gotta say, this isn't looking good: https://www.weather.gov/bis/winter

@TheFuturesWild We have a report of 3 inches of snow measured from Mountrail, ND. Still snowing. https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html?sid=bis

I imagine we will see more reports filter in throughout the day.

@TheFuturesWild I don't think us "no's" lost yet (if anyone has proof to the contrary, just let me know), but things are looking fairly dire:

@kalassak In my defense... dammit.

https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-there-be-a-white-christmas-in?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?

34% chance. For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%: 2022: 53% White Christmas 2021: 26.6% 2020: 26.5% 2019: 28.1% 2018: 24.6% 2017: 49% This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/significant-winter-storm-to-bring-near-blizzard-conditions-bitter-cold-to-west-and-plains/1589568

Looks like there might be snow this weekend in parts of the midwest. We had hail yesterday but no snow yet.

@AnthonyPeterson looks concentrated a little east of the Midwest, but North Dakota could get hit pretty good. We'll have to keep an eye on it.

@TheFuturesWild NWS Bismarck is already advertising a corridor of 8+ inches of snow at 70% chance or higher. This is pretty much a done deal.

@kalassak we'll have to keep an eye on the situation

what is your threshold for midwest? and for snow? (trace? 1 inch?)

@kalassak Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin

as defined by the Census Bureau (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Midwestern_United_States)

Let's go with an inch because trace leaves too much room for interpretation.

Excellent question!

Seems like every year we get a little snow on or before Halloween here in Northern Michigan.

@AnthonyPeterson Well, then, put your mana where your mouth is!

Just, anywhere in the Midwest? If it snows once in Minnesota, that counts?

@Lorec Correct