What will the first-round vote share of the Greater Manchester mayoral election be?

Question

Each option resolves % at the % of the first-round votes that they receive in the election.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Bev Craig (Labour Co-op), followed by Sian Astley (Reform) and Geraldine Coggins (Green) are most likely. See the market for live updates (1 traders, as of Jul 25, 2026).

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