MANIFOLD
Will Trump say 49 by the end of the month?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ95
Feb 28
21%
chance

Based on the search results, I found that Trump received 49.8% of the popular vote in the 2024 election. The question "Will Trump say 49 by the end of the month?" most likely refers to whether Trump will publicly state or reference the number 49 (possibly referring to his 49.8% popular vote share, or potentially 49 states, or another context). Given the ambiguity and the fact that Trump frequently references his electoral performance, I'll create a market description based on the most likely interpretation.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Trump publicly states or says the number "49" in any official statement, speech, interview, social media post, or public appearance by February 28, 2026. This includes references to his 49.8% popular vote share, 49 states, or any other context. Resolution will be verified through major news outlets, official White House records, or Trump's official social media accounts. The statement must be made by Trump himself, not by others speaking about him.

Background

Trump received 49.8% of the popular vote in the 2024 election, which he has frequently referenced in recent statements. Trump delivered his 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026, providing a high-profile platform where such a statement could occur.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
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