Will there be a Manifold <> Squiggle integration by mid 2023?

#Manifold #Effective Altruism

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Squiggle is a domain-specific programming language for making probabilistic estimations.

In principle, it would be possible to bind a probability distribution in Squiggle to a prediction market on Manifold.

The Squiggle announcement post on the EA forums (https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/TfPdb2aMKzgWXFvc3/squiggle-early-access) mentions this possibility:

> Integration with forecasting platforms so that people can forecast using Squiggle models.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

Would be awesome to turn a squiggle model into a Manifold Trading Bot: https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/which-bots-will-win-the-manifold-tr

bought Ṁ25 of YES

relevant: https://github.com/manifoldmarkets/manifold/issues/109

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