Prompted by this comment thread on lw:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/twdjDGDZtyHqZvLiH/?commentId=MMwBsDWi3hCm4kwCd#YHivDyjk7dzZvNdQf
Question format was shamelessly stolen from this question:
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/at-the-end-of-2023-will-i-believe-t
In case I don't think this is worth investigating, this resolves as false. If I investigate this, I'll resolve it to my subjective crecedence that this is true.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ32 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 | |
| 4 | Ṁ1 | |
| 5 | Ṁ1 |
Ok. Investigating this was already worth it (mostly read the comments to the reddit post) just for learning more about colossal squids (https://old.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/mbww69/a_reasoned_case_for_bigfoot/). I knew these existed, but it hadn't occured to me how damn common they must be so that we actually come across them once in a while. The deep see is a weird place.