Will this market's bettors have cleared my position at market close? (At Your Mercy)
8
95
130
resolved Jun 25
Resolved
NO

This is another variation of an "At Your Mercy" market. I will set up an initial bet and a spread of limit orders that can be bought into to change my position, lock them in with a comment, and then not bet, cancel, or adjust after that.

At close: resolves YES if I don't hold shares, or resolves NO if I appear in the positions chart (except if a fractional amount that displays as "0"). May resolve early if I have no limit orders remaining, or if the limit orders that remain cannot change the outcome.

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bought Ṁ0 of NO

Okay bet and limit orders are locked in!

bought Ṁ200 of YES
predicted NO

@Khoja holy shit that was fast! you might wanna buy as much NO as you can since this market is guaranteed to resolve NO now. maybe the bots will fight back and give you more shares to buy for profit?

predicted NO

I need to get some sleep now so I'll resolve this after I wake up. Wild run!

predicted NO

@Khoja Hey Khoja, you did all the work moving this market around. Maybe you've seen some of my other markets of this style? This one is almost inverted from my other At Your Mercies. I wanted to explore other variations of the concept, as I find it interesting. So far I had only lost mana in these markets, and this time there was a solution to the puzzle that would cause me to lose, but I suspected with enough bettors and teamwork it could be quite engaging. But I had poorly phrased a couple of things in the description here, which, considering how fast the market reached resolution conditions, I corrected way too late.

Then you took most of the losses despite being the main mover. I suspect you made a mistake, but I failed you as a market creator. I'd rather keep taking losses on these experiments than win because of an accidental cheat on my part, so I'd like to make you whole. Send me a message on Discord (@ stralor) or shoot me an email (manifoldstuff@patrick-scott.com) with some minor proof of who it's coming from and I'll drop you a manalink matching what you lost here.

predicted NO

@Stralor hey @Khoja, still hoping to hear from you on this

predicted YES

@Stralor I thought the idea of the market was funny (a transfer of mana based on filling all limit orders). I took the loss intentionally while messing around--you're good.

predicted NO

@Khoja OK! :)