This is Curly.

I got Curly in September last year, as a Fall decoration. Sometimes these things last a month before rotting, sometimes they seem to go forever. So far, Curly is hanging in there, living indoors, sometimes on my desk or in my room.

If I have to throw Curly away because of mold, liquefaction, or any other grossness, this resolves NO. If Curly survives until market close without any apparent problems, this resolves YES. If Curly lives that long, I'll probably do a dissection to see how the insides look after all this time.

If for some reason Curly needs to be thrown out early for reasons outside my control that aren't related to rot, I'll resolve to PROB based on what month it is (April -> 0%, May -> 20%, June -> 40%, etc) but I will endeavor to keep the experiment going until September if I can.

I haven't yet decided if/ how I'll bet, but I will place some starting limit orders even if I make no further bets.