Prize Market
Resolves to the person chosen for VICE PRESIDENT by the RNC, if listed here when chosen. If the answer is unambiguously duplicated, resolves to the version added first. Otherwise OTHER.
This is currently set to close at the expected end of the Republican National Convention in 2024. May adjust if needed.
Related questions
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ106,924 | |
| 2 | Ṁ97,329 | |
| 3 | Ṁ91,136 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23,524 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13,890 |
As a reminder, this resolves when the ticket is confirmed by the RNC, not necessarily when Trump announces.
@ManifoldPolitics maybe worth opening a new Vice-President market?
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-chose-jd-vance-running-mate-vp-pick-rcna161982?utm_source=meio&utm_medium=email
It seems we fucked up big time. Trump wanted Doug Burgum as recently as last week. Senator Vance learned about his appointment 20 minutes before the announcement. 70% in the run-up was way way too high, but we pulled it off.
Craziest part of this market was @MarsMartian showing up in May and betting Vance up above 50% over and over again. Turns out he was right! Took me a while to sell all the no shares I bought from him but glad I finally did.
All their trades are on VP markets. They knew. Might be buddies with Barron or Jared. Probably an insider at any rate.
Truth Social:
After lengthy deliberation and thought, and considering the tremendous talents of many others, I have decided that the person best suited to assume the position of Vice President of the United States is Senator J.D. Vance of the Great State of Ohio. J.D. honorably served our Country in the Marine Corps, graduated from Ohio State University in two years, Summa Cum Laude, and is a Yale Law School Graduate, where he was Editor of The Yale Law Journal, and President of the Yale Law Veterans Association. J.D.’s book, “Hillbilly Elegy,” became a Major Best Seller and Movie, as it championed the hardworking men and women of our Country. J.D. has had a very successful business career in Technology and Finance, and now, during the Campaign, will be strongly focused on the people he fought so brilliantly for, the American Workers and Farmers in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, Minnesota, and far beyond….