What forms of conditional markets do you prefer to trade on?
13
resolved May 11
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Resolve N/A if the required condition isn't met
2x2 (or larger matrices) dependent multiple choice for every possible outcome of one question
Simple singular binary markets for each question
Large multiple choice markets with many related questions
Resolve NO if the required condition isn't met
Resolve to partial (PROB) if the required condition isn't met
Nesting conditionals that merge existing simpler markets into combined questions
Conditionals with backstop metamarkets that will resolve differently in case of N/A
Non-resolving markets (if the condition isn't met, they instead stay open indefinitely for future chances rather than shortcut to one of the resolutions above)
Resolve inverted (if-and-only-if; "IFF" / "XNOR") if the required condition isn't met
Resolve to poll if the required condition isn't met
Conditionals that are reframed as numerics, buckets, or other alternative types to elide the issue as much as possible
Resolve to closing price (MKT) if the required condition isn't met
In an ideal world, which forms would you rather see more of?
Choose as many as you like
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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fascinating! I definitely tend to avoid the most popular types when I'm creating them bc I personally prefer the weirder stuff when trading. good insights! thanks for voting