This is the central place for info for this hand. New questions will be posted here as we go.
This question resolves to the winner(s) equally at the end of the hand. Note that bets here don't determine the result of the game. Go to the current round's question for that.
Current Status
The River
3 of spades, 4 of clubs, 6 of hearts, Queen of spades, 2 of hearts
The Audience
Eliminated in the Flop
2 of clubs, Jack of clubs
Let's play a variation on poker! Like all the decent games of poker, this will be a lot about leveraging luck with strategy and mind games; a perfect match for a place about predictions imo.
We're playing a variation based on Texas Hold 'Em specially designed for working on Manifold over a series of markets, but everyone can participate and bet even if they're not given a hand.
Here's how it works:
Players who get a hand are welcome to share it, or team up, bluff, obfuscate, and misdirect, whether on the questions, over discord, or wherever they see fit. They're also welcome to bet for or against their opponents!
The Audience Hand works exactly like personal hands, except it:
is publicly visible
doesn't have to buy in
This is the general question about "who will win" that will track the status of the game, and there will be rapid (roughly 1 day) multi-choice questions for each of the four rounds of betting (Deal, Flop, Turn, River). I may close each of the rounds at an unannounced time up to 4 hours early, but will try to do so when the betting isn't active and hot.
( CHAOS ) Each player who is at 10%+ in the round question at close advances to the next, whether or not they even bet on themselves. We'll go by what it says in the UI.
If two or more players stick it out to the end I'll reveal their hands, announce the winner, and resolve all the remaining questions accordingly.
All of the questions resolve at the end of the game to the winner (or to multiple equally if it's a split).
As you might have noticed, the rules of this special variant allow for very mismatched bets by players, so feel free to jump in even if you're intimidated by a whale in the water! But this is CHAOS mode so, you know, careful out there and maybe bring a friend to back you up.
As I'll know all of the cards, I won't be betting or playing in the rounds, and I cannot be bribed to reveal other players' information or tilt in your favor. My house cut is simply the trader bonuses on any questions I make for this, though I'll accept tips for my role as dealer if you're so inclined.
Of course, side markets are welcome. Feel free to add them to the Manifold Plays Poker group and comment them here for shared visibility.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ167 | |
| 2 | Ṁ102 | |
| 3 | Ṁ62 | |
| 4 | Ṁ58 | |
| 5 | Ṁ24 |
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
Why use play money?
Why use play money?